After a well-played loss to Arsenal and a formidable draw away to Liverpool as +1500 (15/1) underdogs, Crystal Palace returns residence on Saturday to play host to Aston Villa. Bookmakers have put in Palace as a lukewarm residence favourite at +150, with Villa priced at +185and the draw hanging across the +220 mark.
Although Palace is the betting favourite for this match, these odds suggest that, if you happen to performed this contest on a impartial venue, that Aston Villa could be favored. In different phrases, the market views Villa because the stronger group proper now. I’m not so positive that must be the case.
In a whole lot of methods, Palace and Aston Villa are related. Each groups are dedicated to being a well-structured defensive aspect that may sacrifice some offensive aptitude in favor of staying sturdy.
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Despite the fact that Palace completed seventh in objectives allowed, the underlying metrics prompt it had probably the greatest defenses within the Premier League. The Eagles allowed the third-fewest huge scoring possibilities, fourth-fewest non-penalty anticipated objectives and fifth-fewest field entries. These numbers have been even higher at residence, the place they allowed simply 17 objectives in 19 matches final season.
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Crystal Palace has confirmed to be an absolute beast to interrupt down, so they need to have the ability to deal with an assault that completed 18th in huge scoring possibilities created and 14th in anticipated objectives for final season. Merely put, Crystal Palace is a greater group than Aston Villa proper now.
The play: Crystal Palace +155
