Simply after we thought he was out, Aaron Rodgers pulls (Packers followers) again in. After which, a commerce shocker: the Seahawks sent Super Bowl-winning quarterback Russell Wilson to the Broncos. It was a wild day within the NFL, to say the least.
With sportsbooks already scrambling to regulate odds with the information that Aaron Rodgers will return to Green Bay earlier within the day, the Wilson commerce pressured sportsbooks to drag Tremendous Bowl 2023 odds down for a number of minutes as pricing changes befell.
So, with all the mud settled on the quarterback entrance (at the very least, so we predict), how did the traces transfer? In case you wager earlier than Tuesday, how a lot worth did you achieve? And is there nonetheless worth to be discovered on the board? Right here’s how the percentages for all three groups – Broncos, Packers and Seahawks – have been affected:
Broncos odds after Russell Wilson commerce
In January, when Super Bowl 2023 odds were released, the Denver Broncos may’ve been discovered within the +4000 vary. Nonetheless, that modified reasonably shortly with rumors that Aaron Rodgers’ prime vacation spot apart from Inexperienced Bay was Denver, with the Broncos’ Tremendous Bowl odds transferring to round 16-1.
However on Tuesday, Aaron Rodgers determined to stick with the Packers. Denver’s Tremendous Bowl odds plunged to round 25-1 – offering nice worth for sharp bettors who jumped on the road earlier than what was to return later within the afternoon.
When the Seahawks despatched Wilson to the Broncos for 2 first-round picks, two second-round picks and a bundle of gamers that included Drew Lock, the Broncos’ championship odds jumped all the way in which again as much as 12-1.
Beneath is the up and down day as instructed by BetMGM Sportsbook and their Information Analyst, John Ewing…
In a loaded AFC West, Wilson and the Broncos now sit at +275 on MGM to win the division. They’ll should get by means of each Patrick Mahomes’ Chiefs in addition to Justin Herbert’s Chargers, although the roster is loaded with younger stars resembling Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton, Bradley Chubb, Patrick Surtain, Justin Simmons and Javonte Williams.
Packers odds after Aaron Rodgers proclaims return
In line with the Pat McAfee Show, Rodgers was contemplating all choices. The key resolution was all the time the Packers vs. Broncos, with some retirement discussions concerned too. In the end, Rodgers determined that his soccer house is greatest situated in Wisconsin.
We noticed loads of Packers Tremendous Bowl odds motion, too. The announcement that the Packers have been retaining Rodgers moved their odds from +1400 to +1000 on BetMGM. Clearly, this affected their divisional odds as properly.
The NFC North has develop into one of many worst divisions in soccer. The Vikings simply blew up their entrance workplace and can trot out strong, however unspectacular Kirk Cousins at quarterback. Unproven QB Justin Fields is predicted to be beneath middle for the Bears, who’re ready to lose Allen Robinson to free company. And the Lions don’t have a lot going for them after ending 3-13-1 in 2021.
All of this leaves the Packers because the clear favorites. On Tuesday morning, the Packers have been -155 to win the division. As quickly as this information broke, sportsbooks moved the traces to -190 and at the moment are as excessive as -225 in some markets.
Bettors who have been in a position to bounce on that NFC North line at -155 (60.78% implied) are getting glorious worth in comparison with the -225 (69.23%) that DraftKings at present has out.
Seahawks, NFC West odds after Russell Wilson deal
In a curious resolution to say the least, the Seahawks have determined to fully reboot their roster. Russell Wilson is out, and will likely be changed, for now, with Drew Lock.
The apparent downgrade at quarterback has destroyed their odds to win the NFC West. At the beginning of the day Tuesday, the Seahawks have been +500 to win the NFC West on BetMGM. On the time, that appeared beneficiant.
For the reason that commerce, the Seahawks may be discovered as excessive as +1400 on BetRivers to win the NFC West. Some sportsbooks haven’t but adjusted the percentages for the division, since nobody is speeding to wager on the Seahawks to win the NFC West.
That could possibly be a mistake. One much less crew within the division to compete with helps each crew within the division, giving the 49ers and Rams (consensus favorites) further worth.