Tee Higgins is likely one of the finest up-and-coming vast receivers within the NFL and may go off in any matchup. Nonetheless, there’s some sneaky worth in betting the Underneath on his receptions on Sunday.
Over a seven-game stretch since Week 13, Joe Burrow has been torching opposing defenses to the tune of a median 348 passing yards. Nonetheless, Higgins has hauled in six or extra catches in simply three of these video games. With Burrow’s passing yard prop round 287.5 as of writing, Higgins might want to see a reasonably vital rise in goal share to clear 5.5 receptions.
Higgins’ goal share appears extra prone to take successful in opposition to the Chiefs. Burrow may very well be pressured to throw beneath extra due to a leaky offensive line, as evidenced by his 4.5 common depth of goal final week — the bottom of the eight quarterbacks within the divisional spherical. That wouldn’t bode effectively for Higgins.
When Burrow has confronted strain, it has resulted in a minus-5.6 % goal share drop for Higgins — the largest drop on the workforce. Tyler Boyd, C.J. Uzomah, Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine usually tend to profit from the added strain.
I’m projecting Higgins for 4.9 receptions and a median of 62.5 receiving yards. Contemplating he profiles as a downfield menace, I’m rather more snug attacking his reception prop than I’m his yardage prop (because of the potential for a few downfield targets, able to an enormous achieve, however decrease odds of completion).
The play: Tee Higgins, Underneath 5.5 receptions.