Mayor Eric Adams and Chancellor David Banks have inherited a faculty system that’s shrinking quickly, notably within the elementary grades. Nevertheless it’s not essentially unhealthy information — in the event that they take the chance it supplies to higher serve college students.
Detailed data the State Training Division launched this week reveal that enrollment in kindergarten via eighth grade in metropolis public faculties is down by 41,017 college students this 12 months, after final 12 months’s decline of 32,273.
That’s an eye-popping drop of 73,290 college students, or 12%, because the final pre-pandemic college 12 months, 2018-19. Enrollment in metropolis public excessive faculties can also be down, however by much less: This 12 months’s drop of seven,281 college students mixed with final 12 months’s 3,085 means a 3.5% decline over two years.
The stark decline in kindergarten to eighth-grade enrollment is much more dramatic within the earliest grades. This 12 months’s kindergarten class is 14% smaller than the category two years in the past, and comparable losses occurred in all grades via sixth.

For the brand new management of the town and college system, that is the brand new actuality. Metropolis beginning charges are down, and COVID seems to have persuaded some households with school-age youngsters to go away city. The system has additionally disenchanted a variety of mother and father, who’ve gone to constitution, non-public and spiritual faculties as a substitute. We have no idea if the recent years’ lower birth rates shall be short-term or mirror a bigger generational change, however smaller teams of kindergarten, first- and second-graders shall be wending their means via the system for the subsequent 10 to 12 years. The system’s planners should settle for this development as an indication that the teams getting into kindergarten this fall and subsequent ones could very possible proceed to decrease in measurement.
There’s a possibility right here, if solely the town’s college officers will seize it. No person likes overcrowded faculties, and the diminished variety of college students frees up house to create new and numerous varieties of faculties — notably in areas the place the system has fallen brief in recent times.
The mayor is already on document appropriately citing the necessity to increase access to Gifted and Talented Programs, not by rationing present seats via lotteries as his predecessor was wont to do, however by truly rising the variety of packages accessible. However whereas the house to create these new packages could also be newly accessible, the town’s gifted program must be improved quite than simply expanded, and the dwindling numbers present a possibility to do exactly that.
One of the best theorists on G&T training all recommend that what a faculty does with the scholars in such packages is as, or extra, necessary than the way it selects them. Thus, development in such packages wants to include revolutionary approaches, and the system ought to search to associate with folks and establishments that know the way to do this. It also needs to proceed the earlier mayor’s dedication to stop screening college students for these packages at age 4, giving all college students an opportunity to point out their true abilities as soon as they’ve been in elementary college for 2 or three years.

On the identical time, not all college students are sure for school — and our training system should mirror that. That is true in each state and college district within the nation. Sadly, our faculties have been caught within the limitless loop of expectations raised past actuality — to the scholars’ detriments.
Sure, most college students must be given the inspiration in elementary and center college that may equip them for greater research in highschool — and faculty if that’s the place their path lies. However as I mentioned in a recent report on the state’s community-college packages, we should always make provisions for these college students whose achievements and pursuits by grade eight point out they’re higher fitted to workforce preparation. The town and state have been shifting on this course however too slowly. Whereas we now have the chance, let’s innovate to fill this necessary want for a lot of younger folks.
Lastly, the opposite new actuality evident within the enrollment information is one lecturers unions would favor to disregard: New York faculties are in a aggressive market. Mother and father have choices inside and outdoors the town. Regardless of the pernicious cap on the creation of constitution faculties within the metropolis, enrollment in these public faculties has continued to develop in the course of the pandemic — by 7.9% in grades Ok-8 and 11.6% in grades 9-12. The cap should be lifted, and the town ought to return to the coverage of putting new charters in underused DOE college buildings.
Ray Domanico is a senior fellow and director of training coverage on the Manhattan Institute.