Dave Tuley, senior reporter at VSiN.com, is in his fourth season with The Put up’s Bettor’s Information. His handicapping items seem in VSiN’s on-line journal, Level Unfold Weekly.
New Orleans Saints (+10.5) over TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Tom Brady retains rolling alongside, and the general public likes to wager him (with good motive). However right here’s the largest instance of an inflated line this week. It’s as if oddsmakers and the betting public neglect that the Saints beat the Buccaneers, 36-27, on Halloween and have, the truth is, gone 3-1 SU and ATS in opposition to Brady since he moved to Tampa (although the loss was within the playoffs). We additionally noticed the return of Alvin Kamara final week and the way a lot he jump-started the Saints’ offense, even serving to open issues up for Taysom Hill. And regardless of the Bucs’ 10-3 SU file, they’re simply 7-6 ATS this season, in order that they typically let groups stick round (even at decrease numbers than this).
DETROIT LIONS (+13.5) over Arizona Cardinals
The Lions allow us to down of their 38-10 loss on the Broncos, although they’d an excuse as they have been short-handed attributable to COVID-19 points. We’re not making alibis for that dropping wager, as we stayed with it even after listening to concerning the gamers being out. However that’s OK, because the Lions have been excellent to us this season as they’ve been constantly extra aggressive than the opposite dregs of the league regardless of their league-worst 1-12-1 file — they’re nonetheless 8-5 ATS. The Cardinals ought to bounce again from their Monday night time loss to the Rams, however this line continues to be too excessive. And, sure, we’re conscious that the Cardinals are 7-0 SU and ATS on the highway this season, however I’ll take the Lions (4-2 ATS at residence) with the beneficiant factors.
Final week: 0-2. Lions (L), Washington (L)